Iran is dangerously rational
We’ve been here before. Iran has been here before. In 2020 its most senior IRGC commander, Qasem Soleimani, was killed in a US air strike on his convoy as they drove out of Baghdad airport. Soleimani...
View ArticleIran’s president Ebrahim Raisi has died. What’s next?
Not only does the death of Iranian president Ebrahim Raisi, in a helicopter crash in the fog and mountains in northern Iran, necessitate an election within fifty days, it has also removed the likely...
View ArticleRegime change in Iran is a terrible idea
In 2012, as the Islamic Republic showed signs of buckling under the weight of US and EU sanctions, Senator John Kerry spearheaded a series of backchannel meetings with his Iranian counterparts to...
View ArticleIran readies itself for the Trump era
The mood music from Tehran regarding Donald Trump’s election victory was a mixture of “don’t care” and “very much do care.” Regime insiders remember only too well the toll Trump’s last four years took...
View ArticleIran’s Donald Trump dilemma
To talk or not to talk? This is the slogan that’s doing the rounds among the Islamic Republic of Iran’s politicians, hardliner and reformist. Donald Trump has made it clear he hopes that Iran might...
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